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MauiTrader |
| Monday, January 1, 2007, 8:17:01pm |
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This is where you can ask me questions about any stock you may want to short. If you are going short a stock and want to broadcast it to everyone here, post it here. If you like a stock for a possible short in the future, post it here. |
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Market Speculator |
| Tuesday, January 2, 2007, 3:52:23pm |
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Make Relaxation Your Profession Moderator
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Watchlist Short: NTRI |
| Success is a State of Mind - - Tommy Bahama Profits always take care of themselves but losses never do. The speculator has to insure himself against considerable losses by taking their first small loss. - - Jesse Livermore The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the man of inferior emotional balance, nor for the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor. - - Jesse Livermore |
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MauiTrader |
| Tuesday, January 2, 2007, 3:54:07pm |
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15:07:15 [MarketSpek] NTRI - possible short
15:07:34 [MarketSpek] De why are you bailing on us
15:07:50 [DeMerch] not bailing...
15:08:00 [DeMerch] I'm at work... lol... i gotta do my real job
15:08:23 [MauiTrader] NTRI is a possible
15:08:32 [MauiTrader] but the tail of Friday looks to be hodling support
15:09:02 [MauiTrader] techncially the stock is still in an uptrend for the int, sub-in, and long term
15:09:13 [MauiTrader] it is only dt'ing on the short term
15:09:46 [MarketSpek] look at all the volume on the downside
15:10:17 [MarketSpek] October tries to make a new high...bamm gets slaughtered on big volume
15:10:35 [MarketSpek] any significant volume since oct 25th has been on the downside
15:10:56 [MarketSpek] 50 dma bending down
15:11:13 [MarketSpek] Just throwing it up on the short watch list
15:13:06 [MauiTrader] definitely on watchlist
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Market Speculator |
| Tuesday, January 2, 2007, 3:55:35pm |
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Make Relaxation Your Profession Moderator
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This is what you get in the chat...Josh and I going back inforth...get in there!! LOL |
| Success is a State of Mind - - Tommy Bahama Profits always take care of themselves but losses never do. The speculator has to insure himself against considerable losses by taking their first small loss. - - Jesse Livermore The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the man of inferior emotional balance, nor for the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor. - - Jesse Livermore |
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MauiTrader |
| Thursday, January 18, 2007, 4:29:25am |
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If we were in a bear market these are the charts I would want to see to short stocks. These can all be found in my scan.
DOX weekly
POOL weekly
AHM weekly
NDE weekly
HW daily
AOC daily |
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MauiTrader |
| Thursday, January 18, 2007, 11:46:55pm |
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These are the kind of stock chart pattern I would look for if we were in a more severe bear market to short.
BER weekly
EAS daily
SMH daily...that isn't good for Semiconductor sector.
NTRI daily
CYMI daily
LLTC weekly
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MauiTrader |
| Saturday, January 20, 2007, 2:50:46am |
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These are the shorts in my scan that interest me. if we were in a bear market I might want to be short some of these stocks. BUT NOT NOW. NO WAY.
AXP daily
WFMI daily
POOL weekly
WLK weekly
CWTR weekly
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MauiTrader |
| Tuesday, January 23, 2007, 11:33:17pm |
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FL: look at a long term daily going back to 2003
CKFR: look at a long term daily going back to 2003
BKUNA daily
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MauiTrader |
| Thursday, January 25, 2007, 10:35:28pm |
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If the market was in a clear downtrend these are the charts that would interest me:
AHM long term daily
BAC daily
DOV daily
TOT daily
SBUX daily
ROK weekly
BZH daily
THQI daily
KOMG long term daily
SAP weekly
NDE weekly |
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MauiTrader |
| Friday, January 26, 2007, 10:45:19pm |
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If the market was in a solid downtrend these are the charts that came up on tonights scan that would peak my interest:
ECL
KOMG weekly
ABFS weekly
HW weekly |
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MauiTrader |
| Tuesday, January 30, 2007, 2:16:02am |
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If the market was in a solid downtrend these are the charts that came up on tonights scan that would peak my interest:
BAC daily
EAS weekly
NSC weekly
TXU weekly |
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MauiTrader |
| Wednesday, January 31, 2007, 12:15:24am |
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MMM weekly
WYE daily
THO weekly
CBE weekly
NTRI weekly |
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MauiTrader |
| Wednesday, January 31, 2007, 9:41:12pm |
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If the market was in a solid downtrend these are the charts that came up on tonights scan that would peak my interest:
HOG daily
WBSN weekly
NTRI weekly |
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MauiTrader |
| Thursday, February 1, 2007, 9:33:09pm |
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If this was a bear market, I would short these patterns:
DELL daily
UTHR daily/weekly
TJX daily
MMM weekly
NTRI weekly
TSCO weekly
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MauiTrader |
| Saturday, February 3, 2007, 4:38:52pm |
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What would I short if this was a bear market?
A daily
DELL daily
AVID weekly |
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MauiTrader |
| Monday, February 5, 2007, 7:34:24pm |
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If this was a bear market these are the chart patterns that would interest me:
CRK daily
EFII weekly
AVID weekly
UTHR weekly |
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MauiTrader |
| Tuesday, February 6, 2007, 10:04:49pm |
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If this were a bear market the charts that interest me today would be these charts
RCL daily
SBUX weekly
I will post the charts later on the "new swing shorts" page. |
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MauiTrader |
| Wednesday, February 7, 2007, 8:05:34pm |
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If this was a bear market the stocks I would be looking to short would be:
GROW CCJ PBR.A zoom-2 daily charts on TCNet. |
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MauiTrader |
| Thursday, February 8, 2007, 9:15:41pm |
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If we were in a bear market, I would want to short these patterns:
RAI daily
HBC daily
GYMB daily
Charts posted on "new swing shorts" page. |
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MauiTrader |
| Saturday, February 10, 2007, 2:00:33pm |
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Here are the chart patterns that I would want to short if this was a bear market:
SNY weekly
WM daily
TKR weekly
ILMN daily
ENER 2-day |
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MauiTrader |
| Monday, February 12, 2007, 9:32:07pm |
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If this were a bear market these are the patterns I would short:
BKUNA daily
AHM weekly |
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MauiTrader |
| Tuesday, February 13, 2007, 10:49:01pm |
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If this was a bear market this chart pattern would be exactly what I would want to short
NDAQ daily |
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MauiTrader |
| Wednesday, February 14, 2007, 9:47:50pm |
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This is a perfect chart to study for a short candidate:
WLT weekly |
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MauiTrader |
| Thursday, February 15, 2007, 10:01:40pm |
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If this was a bear market I would want to short this pattern:
BHI weekly |
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MauiTrader |
| Saturday, February 17, 2007, 2:43:19am |
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This is a powerful bull market but we still need to learn the chart patterns I will want to see when we are in a bear market. In a bear market these patterns will work really well.
ODP weekly
AMGN weekly |
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MauiTrader |
| Tuesday, February 20, 2007, 9:49:14pm |
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If this was a bear market you would want to short a stock with the pattern that CSGS has.
Chart posted on new swing shorts page. |
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MauiTrader |
| Wednesday, February 21, 2007, 10:15:28pm |
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There are no new shorts examples for Thursday. |
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MauiTrader |
| Thursday, February 22, 2007, 9:45:46pm |
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AHM weekly, WMI weekly
If you ever see chart patterns like this in a bear market, you can be sure these will make great shorts on any light volume rally. |
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MauiTrader |
| Friday, February 23, 2007, 11:34:33pm |
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If this was a bear market, the chart patterns of these stocks would make great shorts:
MER daily
BKUNA daily
AMGN weekly |
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MauiTrader |
| Monday, February 26, 2007, 10:43:31pm |
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No new swing shorts for Tuesday. |
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MauiTrader |
| Tuesday, February 27, 2007, 9:43:04pm |
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No New Swing Shorts For Wednesday As The Market Is Still Not In A Confirmed Bear Market By MauiTrader
3 out of 4 stocks follow the trend of the market. The trend is starting to change but before it does, IF IT DOES, it is going to get very choppy in the short term. With only two distribution days on the markets, there still needs to be a couple more distribution days before we are for sure this market is done. Nobody says a snap back rally can’t occur here. The best time to short most stocks, according to history, is a couple of months or more AFTER their top. There is still plenty of time to go short, if this is the start of a real bear market. I would not short here and since I know that emotions are high I am not even going to post short candidates as I do not recommend going short yet. If I change my mind, they will be listed below. |
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MauiTrader |
| Wednesday, February 28, 2007, 9:20:23pm |
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There are no new swing shorts tonight as the market is not yet in a confirmed clear downtrend.
These charts would be great shorts, if the market was in a downtrend:
WTR long-term daily
GTRC very long-term daily |
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MauiTrader |
| Thursday, March 1, 2007, 9:28:31pm |
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No New Swing Shorts For Friday As The Market Still Has Not Confirmed It Is Ready To Go Into A Long Solid Downtrend By MauiTrader
This market still has some life in it. Even though I am declaring the bull market off the July/Aug lows over, I still am not convinced the market wants to start a solid downtrend yet. Until there are more distribution days on the indexes, it is still too early to operate on the short side. The greatest traders never forced trades when they were not certain about the market trend. Right now we are at that inflection point. We have to wait and see how the market responds to all of this wild and crazy action before I will feel comfy operating on the short side.
If this were a bear market, this is yet another chart I would love to be short. If you take a look at all the charts I have posted the past two weeks, in here, I think you will see the short side is doing well already. So you can imagine the power of these patterns in an all-out bear market.
XOM long-term daily |
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MauiTrader |
| Friday, March 2, 2007, 10:59:37pm |
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No New Swing Shorts For Monday; Four Stocks That Might Make Great Shorts By MauiTrader
The market still has not failed a rally yet so I still don’t feel comfortable going short until the market shows me it has failed on the bull side.
“At other times, a topping market will recover for a couple of months and get back near or even above its old high before breaking down in earnest. This occurred in December 1976, January 1981, and January 1984. There’s an important psychological reason for this: The majority of people in the market can’t be exactly right at exactly the right time. In 1994, the Nasdaq didn’t top until weeks after the Dow did. A similar thing happened in early 2000. “The majority in the stock market will be fooled first. This includes both professional and individual investors.” -William O’Neil, “How To Make Money In Stocks”
Last year I jumped the gun and shorted way too many stocks early on in the breakdown. Even though the market went down, I did not do well on the short-side. The reason was that it was not a real bear market. It was just a downleg (May 2006-July 2006) in an overall bear market. You will see I did have some nice winners. Unfortunately, I had more losers that covered the wins. Hence, why I do not short unless we are in a real bear market.
However, if you are a bit more risk adverse than me, I will let you know that if this market was in a pure downtrend with constant rallies on low volume and heavy volume selloffs, there are four stocks I would love to be going short.
MDR
CIEN
AEM
CENX
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MauiTrader |
| Monday, March 5, 2007, 9:33:39pm |
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For me, personally, it is still not the right time to be shorting stocks but so far most of the shorts I have offered up as nice chart patterns to short in bear markets are already working and working well in AHM and NDE.
Here are some charts that are clearly broken and if we were not down so far so fast I would love to short. I assume most of these will have low volume rallies offering secondary shorting points
TOT weekly
TMA weekly
SSL weekly
ABX on a low volume rally
WFC
CTAS
MVSN
CHL |
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MauiTrader |
| Tuesday, March 6, 2007, 8:25:56pm |
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For me, personally, it is still not the right time to be shorting stocks but so far most of the shorts I have offered up as nice chart patterns to short in bear markets are already working and working well in AHM and NDE.
Here are some charts that are clearly broken and if we were not down so far so fast I would love to short. I assume most of these will have low volume rallies offering secondary shorting points
OMG weekly
KSE daily |
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MauiTrader |
| Tuesday, March 6, 2007, 9:33:22pm |
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After further review I have decided to skip KSE as a good short. In fact, it is a horrible short. The beta is very very low, it pays out a 4.7% dividend, and on top of a 9-10% margin rate, you can forget about making any money on that one. |
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MauiTrader |
| Wednesday, March 7, 2007, 9:03:54pm |
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Just because I am not shorting now, it doesn't mean you can't. I am very disciplined. But if you are already ready to short, you can see everything is working out fine. OMG lost 4.37% today. On margin, you just made an overnight 8.5% gain.
If this was a clear bear market I would be going short these three stocks (clear bear market means 5 to 7 distribution days in past month and a failed low volume rally....like the one we are having now).
SHO weekly
ROK weekly
HMIN daily |
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MauiTrader |
| Friday, March 9, 2007, 2:39:48am |
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If this was a clear bear market I would be going short this stock (clear bear market means 5 to 7 distribution days in past month and a failed low volume rally....like the one we are having now):
TECD |
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MauiTrader |
| Saturday, March 10, 2007, 2:31:14am |
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No new shorts for Monday and no new shortable patterns for Monday. The scans were dry. |
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MauiTrader |
| Monday, March 12, 2007, 6:45:32pm |
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There are no new swing shorts or new short chart patterns. The closest one I would want to take is CCU and that is not a proper LONG-TERM short pattern.
The homebuilders are FUCKED
Those charts are now all destroyed. |
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MauiTrader |
| Tuesday, March 13, 2007, 5:00:31pm |
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New swing shorts: GDP GG FITB CNB MTG GS WAG SNY
17:17:07 [MauiTrader] NOTHING
17:17:33 [MauiTrader] NO NEW SWING LONGS FOR WEDNESDAY
17:17:42 [MauiTrader] is that the first time that has happened or second?
17:19:40 [MauiTrader] second
17:19:50 [MauiTrader] Tuesday on the other big selloff there was nothing
17:20:03 [MauiTrader] this is the first day in a long time that i can remember
17:20:10 [MauiTrader] where the day started sunny and turned to rainy
17:20:16 [MauiTrader] probably in over a year
17:20:20 [MauiTrader] during the day
17:20:26 [MauiTrader] so today is very special for me
17:20:28 [MauiTrader] lol
17:21:56 [MauiTrader] going over my port
17:22:05 [MauiTrader] i will do the shrots later as i have already given you a list
17:22:10 [MauiTrader] during the day
17:31:41 [MauiTrader] 11 stocks to sell off
17:31:52 [MauiTrader] 13 to take some profits/losses on
17:36:13 [MauiTrader] ok here we go with the short
17:36:32 [MauiTrader] iffy short: DDS
17:36:36 [MauiTrader] it has cracked
17:37:05 [MauiTrader] PXD cracking
17:37:25 [MauiTrader] ARXT is in trouble
17:38:08 [MauiTrader] i already gave you heads up on KSE
17:38:20 [MauiTrader] but the yield is too high
17:38:22 [MauiTrader] 4.7%
17:38:24 [MauiTrader] too much
17:38:44 [MauiTrader] SNY rollover
17:39:04 [MauiTrader] that is my favoirte so far
17:39:15 [MauiTrader] GENZ in trouble
17:39:29 [MauiTrader] goign to go short WAG
17:40:14 [MauiTrader] TEK uh oh
17:40:57 [MauiTrader] going to go short GS
17:41:11 [MauiTrader] PPH rolling over
17:41:18 [MauiTrader] SONC rolling over
17:41:34 [MauiTrader] SPY UGLY!
17:41:42 [MauiTrader] RTH UGLY!
17:42:29 [MauiTrader] SNV going to get hit
17:43:19 [MauiTrader] WMT goodnight
17:43:58 [MauiTrader] EMN failure
17:44:21 [MauiTrader] CB in BIG trouble
17:44:31 [MauiTrader] going short MTG
17:45:30 [MauiTrader] i would go short WB but yield is 4.7%
17:46:23 [MauiTrader] BBT ouch
17:46:44 [MauiTrader] USG rolling over and failing moving averages
17:47:28 [MauiTrader] going short CNB
17:47:55 [MauiTrader] omg, WFC is screwed
17:48:13 [MauiTrader] BBV goodnight
17:48:32 [MauiTrader] BAC OH GOD!
17:48:35 [MauiTrader] BAC is don
17:48:37 [MauiTrader] done
17:49:14 [MauiTrader] C in trouble
17:49:26 [MauiTrader] PFG is a short
17:49:35 [MauiTrader] God almighty it is HORRIBLE
17:49:39 [MauiTrader] HORRIBLE out there
17:49:54 [MauiTrader] i havent seen this since 00
17:49:58 [MauiTrader] i swear
17:50:01 [MauiTrader] this is ugly
17:50:04 [MauiTrader] what is very scary
17:50:09 [MauiTrader] is that this is in great stocks
17:50:14 [MauiTrader] with high EPS
17:50:30 [MauiTrader] RDN done!
17:50:46 [MauiTrader] MHP hardcore breakdown
17:50:59 [MauiTrader] RF kaboom!
17:51:20 [MauiTrader] MPG is going to crash
17:51:30 [MauiTrader] NCC HORRIBLE reversal
17:52:08 [MauiTrader] going short FITB
17:52:27 [MauiTrader] cma heavy breakdown
17:52:37 [MauiTrader] OH WOW!!
17:52:43 [MauiTrader] your old leaders of the whole bull market
17:52:48 [MauiTrader] the top dog is dying
17:52:49 [MauiTrader] TS
17:52:55 [MauiTrader] rolling over
17:53:21 [MauiTrader] JPM going to back and fill but it is topping
17:53:50 [MauiTrader] this is going to be ugly unless somebody HUGE comes in and supports us here soon
17:54:16 [MauiTrader] WM wow
17:54:21 [MauiTrader] PHM wow
17:54:29 [MauiTrader] RCII major breakdown
17:54:49 [MauiTrader] MS breaking down
17:55:15 [MauiTrader] TMA major breakdown
17:55:42 [MauiTrader] LEH wow
17:55:52 [MauiTrader] PMI horrible reversal
17:55:59 [MauiTrader] MCO major breakdown
17:56:17 [MauiTrader] AMP topping
17:56:43 [MauiTrader] going short GG
17:56:52 [MauiTrader] another OLD leader
17:56:55 [MauiTrader] bighting the dust
17:57:39 [MauiTrader] BSC giong to be destroyed
17:57:50 [MauiTrader] CHIC rollover
17:58:13 [MauiTrader] another HUGE winner ILMN...goodnight
17:58:26 [MauiTrader] oil stock dying....GDP
17:58:36 [MauiTrader] another huge winner clearly topping and rolling voer
17:59:11 [MauiTrader] ACF is going to be destroyed
17:59:27 [MauiTrader] going short GDP
17:59:34 [MauiTrader] 8 new shorts are being put on
17:59:39 [MauiTrader] expect short analysis
17:59:43 [MauiTrader] strictly on technicals
17:59:47 [MauiTrader] i am going to the gym |
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MauiTrader |
| Wednesday, March 14, 2007, 7:44:01pm |
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Professionals
Posts
9,599
Posts Per Day
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Time Online
103 days 9 hours 45 minutes
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one new swing short: RVBD |
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