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General Market Observations  This thread currently has 26,392 views. Print
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phailin
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 3:06:16pm Report to Moderator
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As i finish that post i turn the tv on to see the markets came back but not before the second half of my longs got stopped out only to go vertical the last 20 minutes of the day.  Meanwhile my shorts rally and it's yet another write off day.   I hate, ,,,hate is a strong word, but appropriate...hate this market right now. Ok, i'll stop posting.
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Market Speculator
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 3:13:31pm Report to Moderator
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Tough, tough, tough market...


Success is a State of Mind - - Tommy Bahama
Profits always take care of themselves but losses never do. The speculator has to insure himself against considerable losses by taking their first small loss.  - -  Jesse Livermore
The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the man of inferior emotional balance, nor for the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor.  - -  Jesse Livermore
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krill
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 3:16:36pm Report to Moderator

OTC stocks are for trading imo not 'investing'.
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Tough markets come and go, the oil embargo of the 70s, the S&L scandals of the 80s....the post tech boom crash of early 2000 and on.....the market has always recovered.  If ever it doesn't, then we'll have bigger concerns.


Come and join me in "THE SWAMP", the OTC swamp that is.  Help me identify which stocks have the postential for BIG GAINS before the industry hacks start pumping and dumping them.  

DON'T GET SCAMMED, GET SMART!!!

http://www.investorsparadise.com/c-Krill/
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Market Speculator
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 3:23:10pm Report to Moderator
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Krill...my comments weren't meant to say it will last forever.  

Look at '29 Many thought it was the end for stocks...and it has recovered...we are just in the environment that is choppy and isn't ripe for longs.


Success is a State of Mind - - Tommy Bahama
Profits always take care of themselves but losses never do. The speculator has to insure himself against considerable losses by taking their first small loss.  - -  Jesse Livermore
The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the man of inferior emotional balance, nor for the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor.  - -  Jesse Livermore
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Market Speculator
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 3:24:18pm Report to Moderator
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there are 3 or 4 times every 10 or so years where you get an opportunities for HUGE gains...


Success is a State of Mind - - Tommy Bahama
Profits always take care of themselves but losses never do. The speculator has to insure himself against considerable losses by taking their first small loss.  - -  Jesse Livermore
The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the man of inferior emotional balance, nor for the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor.  - -  Jesse Livermore
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phailin
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 3:26:17pm Report to Moderator
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...and this isn't one of those times
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Market Speculator
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 3:26:36pm Report to Moderator
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I will say...ok I double checked my numbers this time...(again apologies)

The Nasdaq did fall 1.4% on VERY LIGHT trade...basically I am not saying we are turning around and heading to 5k tomorrow.  It is a good sign, finally that we didn't sell off on HUGE volume for the Nasdaq...I think its the first step of a few hundred but its a start.


Success is a State of Mind - - Tommy Bahama
Profits always take care of themselves but losses never do. The speculator has to insure himself against considerable losses by taking their first small loss.  - -  Jesse Livermore
The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the man of inferior emotional balance, nor for the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor.  - -  Jesse Livermore
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phailin
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 3:31:17pm Report to Moderator
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yay ckfr
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huajian_us
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 3:45:30pm Report to Moderator
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phailin, I heard so much about Jeff now, I am aware the book HIT and RUN, is it good book ?  Amazon score is only 3+, is there any else I get to understand his method more. I guess that he is not CANSlim, he is a hit and run guy ?
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ORKiter
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 3:48:15pm Report to Moderator
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some thoughts from me an amateur investor - its boring mkt and tough not to get worked up with the large intraday swings but i keep it simple and even though i enjoy reading stocks mkt books all the time(i just finished Dr. Elders book on Josh's list) i dont get caught up in all those technical indicators interpreting the same data(GANN, fibonacci bands, point/figure,etc.....the list goes on, and the thousands of technicians on the thousands of trading sites that all have their own opinions for trading the market and they all seems to make sense but not everyone can be right(if i could personally train with a professional trader that implements lots of those indicators and is continually beating the mkt then i would be more interested) but very few beat the mkt like CANSLIM or make as much sense to me as CANSLIM, etc.....the more I read and work at it after reading most succesful trader, the more that CANSLIM makes more sense for my style as i dont like watching the mkt all day and having the emotions with that....i admit to making some small shorts to keep my feeling involved in the mkt.....I would like to see a correction as i would like to put money to work but right now ill just keep learning/reading and not overtrading because there IS NO DIRECTION IN THE MARKET, look back at all the "attractive breakouts or breakdowns" from the last month and many of them whipsawed all over the place......i remain in almost all cash with only about 20k short, 5k long and and will add shorts after the Fed announcement b'c even if mkt bounces some more there is no leadership to make anything sustainable and too many negative divergences
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krill
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 4:38:03pm Report to Moderator

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I'm a big believer in dollar cost averaging....when dealing with "quality" stocks, those that have + earnings and/or pay a dividend.  Trying to time the market, imo it's alot of guesswork...everyone thinks they're a genius when they time things right, and have a boatload of excuses when their timing is off.  


Come and join me in "THE SWAMP", the OTC swamp that is.  Help me identify which stocks have the postential for BIG GAINS before the industry hacks start pumping and dumping them.  

DON'T GET SCAMMED, GET SMART!!!

http://www.investorsparadise.com/c-Krill/
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Market Speculator
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 5:08:29pm Report to Moderator
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Dollar Cost Averaging...

I can't say that I am a fan of it...Actually, I am not a fan of it at all...but hey if it works for you then that is the only thing that matters...

I don't think I am smart enough to pick a stock to DCA with...


Success is a State of Mind - - Tommy Bahama
Profits always take care of themselves but losses never do. The speculator has to insure himself against considerable losses by taking their first small loss.  - -  Jesse Livermore
The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the man of inferior emotional balance, nor for the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor.  - -  Jesse Livermore
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MauiTrader
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 5:22:21pm Report to Moderator
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Dollar cost averaging is very dangerous. Just ask anyone long MSFT. Nice earnings, nice dividend. Too bad I have owned 130 plus stocks that have gone up 100% plus in the past three years. How is that dividend treating you??

You CAN time the market using the CANSLIM system.

Don't believe what anyone else says. The greatest traders NEVER dollar cost averaged. NEVER.

As for Jeff Cooper just take allof the noise in guys. Don't trade off of it. Just take it in. The only thing you need to know is the current market, the trend, and are there any leading stocks breaking out.

CANSLIM has it all. It is history. DO NOT EVER DOLLAR COST AVERAGE. It is an underperformer strategy.

The best strategy for the GAZILLIONTH time is CANSLIM. It has been proven via a real time study done by AAII

Go look it up.

It may work for some but I am telling you you will not get rich and go from 5k to 1 mill. using dollar cost averaging.
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MauiTrader
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 5:24:25pm Report to Moderator
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what you think may be quality may be trash underneath. The big boys always know more than you. The market doesn't care what you think is value. The stock is worth the price it is NOW. If my stocks go up it is a good stock. If it goes down SELL!
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Market Speculator
Tuesday, August 1, 2006, 5:27:14pm Report to Moderator
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AAII studied how many strategies from 98-04???

Always assume that someone is better or knows more than you...Michael Jordan was always the first to arrive, last one to leave practice...you wouldn't have thought he was the best player to ever live...the great one knows that there may be somebody better and so I need to work twice as hard...same thing with stocks...someone out there knows more, smarter, better than you.  So you have to work, WORK at this to get yourself better.


Success is a State of Mind - - Tommy Bahama
Profits always take care of themselves but losses never do. The speculator has to insure himself against considerable losses by taking their first small loss.  - -  Jesse Livermore
The game of speculation is the most uniformly fascinating game in the world. But it is not a game for the stupid, the mentally lazy, the man of inferior emotional balance, nor for the get-rich-quick adventurer. They will die poor.  - -  Jesse Livermore
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